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Lowest Ever CAGR?

What's the lowest-ever recorded annual growth rate for zonal values in Metro Manila?


I looked at the historical zonal values of properties in Metro Manila and looked for the lowest CAGR.


I found a 3-story commercial office building in San Juan built in the 90s. Its zonal values had the following CAGRs for the subsequent periods:


2019-2023 10.07%

2003-2023 3.45%

2003-2019 1.86%

1996-2023 2.83%


The 1.86% between 2003 and 2019 is the lowest CAGR I could find–so far. Interestingly, the average annual inflation for the same period is 3.81%.


How is this relevant?


Cautious investors may use this figure as a pessimistic assumption for a property's capital appreciation.

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